WEF-Chief Economists' Outlook: January 2026
you are currently viewing::WEF-Chief Economists' Outlook: January 2026January 16, 2026--The January 2026 Chief Economists Outlook opens on a cautiously brighter note than last year. Drawing on consultations and survey responses from the World Economic Forum's Community of Chief Economists, the report examines near-term economic prospects alongside deeper structural shifts shaping growth, policy and investment. While views for the year ahead remain tilted towards the negative, they have improved compared to late 2025. Amid stretched asset valuations, rising public debt and geopolitical tensions, uncertainty remains elevated. The outlook highlights divergent regional trajectories. Growth perspectives for the US are improving, driven by strong artificial intelligence-related investment. Europe confronts weak growth and geoeconomic challenges, while China navigates deflationary headwinds alongside a rebalancing of trade and consumption. South Asia stands out as the region with the strongest growth outlook among surveyed chief economists. This edition takes a closer look at debt pressures in advanced economies and emerging markets, as well as the uneven adoption of artificial intelligence and its implications for productivity and employment levels. Together, these dynamics point to a global economy that is undergoing profound transformation, requiring adaptive strategies from policy-makers and business leaders alike. Source: (WEF) World Economic Forum |
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March 26, 2026-Introduction
The conflict in the Middle East is testing the resilience of the global economy.
The outlook is surrounded by high uncertainty and reflects the interaction of two opposing forces:
On the upside, growth is supported by strong momentum in technology-related investment and production, lower tariff rates than previously assumed, and carry-over from robust outcomes in 2025.
March 26, 2026- ETFGI reports actively managed ETFs globally hit new US$2.15 Trillion record amid 71 straight months of net inflows at the end of February. During February the actively managed ETFs industry globally gathered net inflows of US$91.15 billion, bringing year-to-date net inflows to a record US$167.58 billion, according to ETFGI's February 2026 Active ETF industry landscape insights report, an annual paid-for research subscription service.
March 24, 2026-During the Great Depression, as he saw ordinary people's purchasing power collapse, Federal Reserve Chairman Marriner Eccles warned that excessive saving by the rich was draining demand and deepening the downturn. "To protect them from the results of their own folly," Eccles told the Senate in 1933 testimony, "we should take from them a sufficient amount of their surplus to enable consumers to consume and business to operate at a profit."
March 19, 2026-World trade is set to slow in 2026 following stronger than expected growth in 2025 on the back of surging trade in AI-enabling products. WTO economists warn that the ongoing conflict in the Middle East could further reduce trade growth if energy prices remain elevated, noting that it would also put pressure on food supplies and services trade due to travel and transport disruptions. Prospects could still improve if the conflict ends quickly and the boom in AI spending continues.
March 15, 2026-Global stocks continued to weaken last week, as the ongoing war in Iran kept oil prices high.
Oil prices have surged as the Iran conflict disrupts global supply, adding to inflation risks. At the same time, recent RBA commentary has sharply shifted market expectations- with investors now bracing for a possible rate hike this week.