Goods trade growth set to moderate as barometer index dips
you are currently viewing::Goods trade growth set to moderate as barometer index dipsNovember 28, 2025-Goods trade growth appears to have slowed in the second half of 2025 following a surge in the first half driven by frontloading of imports ahead of expected tariff hikes and by rising demand for AI-related products, according to the latest WTO Goods Trade Barometer. The overall barometer index fell to 101.8 for the month of September, down from 102.2 in June and below the quarterly trade volume index representing actual merchandise trade developments through Q2. The barometer, which typically predicts trade developments two to three months ahead, also remains above its baseline value of 100, which suggests that trade volume is likely to grow more slowly in the fourth quarter but remain above trend. The Goods Trade Barometer is a composite leading indicator for world trade, providing real-time information on the trajectory of merchandise trade relative to recent trends. Barometer values greater than 100 are associated with above-trend trade volumes while barometer values less than 100 suggest that goods trade has either fallen below trend or will do so soon.view filing Source: World Trade Organization (WTO) |
December 23, 2025-ETFGI, a leading independent research and consultancy firm renowned for its expertise in subscription research, consulting services, events, and ETF TV on global ETF industry trends, reported today that assets invested in the actively managed ETFs listed globally reached a new record of US$1.86 trillion at the end of November.
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The global economy is proving more resilient than anticipated despite persistent trade tensions and policy uncertainty, according to the World Bank's latest Global Economic Prospects report.