Chief Economists Warn Global Growth Under Strain from Trade Policy Shocks and AI Disruption
you are currently viewing::Chief Economists Warn Global Growth Under Strain from Trade Policy Shocks and AI DisruptionMay 28, 2025--A majority of surveyed economists see current US economic policy as having a lasting global impact, with 87% expecting it to delay strategic business decisions and heighten recession risks.
Public debt concerns are mounting as defence spending rises, with 86% of chief economists expecting increased government borrowing. Artificial intelligence is expected to drive growth, but 47% anticipate net job losses. The global economic outlook has worsened since the start of the year, as rising economic nationalism and tariff volatility fuel uncertainty and risk stalling long-term decision-making, according to a World Economic Forum report released today. The latest Chief Economists Outlook reveals that a strong majority (79%) of surveyed economists view the current geoeconomic developments as signs of a significant structural shift for the global economy rather than a temporary disruption. Source: WEF (World Economic Forum) |
March 30, 2026-Energy prices, supply chains, and financial markets are the main transmission channels, but the regional effects will vary significantly
The world faces yet another shock. The war in the Middle East is upending lives and livelihoods in the region and beyond. It is also dimming the outlook for many economies that had only just shown signs of a sustained recovery from previous crises.
March 30, 2026- Overview
Before the onset of the conflict in the Middle East,global growth had surprised to the upside in early 2026,accompanied by a rise in goods trade at the turn of the year.
High-frequency indicators in February pointed to strengthening global activity,alongside improving prospects for both the manufacturing and services sectors.
March 26, 2026-Firm reinforces role as a pioneer and authority in Hypergrowth Investing
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March 26, 2026-Introduction
The conflict in the Middle East is testing the resilience of the global economy.
The outlook is surrounded by high uncertainty and reflects the interaction of two opposing forces:
On the upside, growth is supported by strong momentum in technology-related investment and production, lower tariff rates than previously assumed, and carry-over from robust outcomes in 2025.
March 26, 2026- ETFGI reports actively managed ETFs globally hit new US$2.15 Trillion record amid 71 straight months of net inflows at the end of February. During February the actively managed ETFs industry globally gathered net inflows of US$91.15 billion, bringing year-to-date net inflows to a record US$167.58 billion, according to ETFGI's February 2026 Active ETF industry landscape insights report, an annual paid-for research subscription service.