IMF-As Inflation Recedes, Global Economy Needs Policy Triple Pivot
October 22, 2024--Let’s start with the good news: it looks like the global battle against inflation has largely been won, even if price pressures persist in some countries. After peaking at 9.4 percent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2022, we now project headline inflation will fall to 3.5 percent by the end of next year, slightly below the average during the two decades before the pandemic.
China stimulus unleashes ETF buying spree in US and Europe
October 10, 2024-A scramble for Chinese equities united the global investment industry last month, just as attitudes towards European and Japanese stock markets became heavily bifurcated along geographical lines.
Global goods trade on track for gradual recovery despite lingering downside risks
October 10, 2024--Global goods trade is projected to post a 2.7% increase in 2024, up slightly from the previous estimate of 2.6%, WTO economists said in an updated forecast on 10 October.
The volume of world merchandise trade is likely to increase by 3.0% in 2025; however, rising geopolitical tensions and increased economic policy uncertainty continue to pose substantial downside risks to the forecast.
OECD headline inflation drops to 4.7% in August 2024 as energy inflation declines
October 3, 2024--"Year-on-year inflation in the OECD as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 4.7% in August 2024 from 5.4% in July.".
Year-on-year inflation in the OECD as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 4.7% in August 2024 from 5.4% in July. The fall was driven to a large extent by a decline of about 10 percentage points in Turkey inflation, which nevertheless still remained above 50%.
BIS-Monetary policy in an era of supply headwinds-do the old principles still stand?
October 2, 2024--Adverse supply shocks have played a significant role in the post-pandemic inflation surge, when inflation rates in advanced economies reached levels not seen since the 1970s. The future is likely to bring more volatile inflation due to less elastic supply capacities and more frequent adverse supply shocks, necessitating a re-evaluation of monetary policy principles and frameworks
WEF-Chief Economists Outlook: September 2024
September 25, 2024--The September 2024 Chief Economists Outlook explores key trends in the global economy, including the latest outlook for growth, inflation, monetary and fiscal policy, the implications of high public debt levels, and the prospects for a new growth agenda.
This latest edition of the Chief Economists Outlook launches amid continuing economic uncertainty. The short-term outlook for the global economy has begun to stabilize, but many vulnerabilities remain.
OECD: Global economy is turning the corner as inflation declines and trade growth strengthens
September 25, 2024--The global economy is turning the corner as growth remained resilient through the first half of 2024, with declining inflation, though significant risks remain, according to the OECD's latest Interim Economic Outlook.
With robust growth in trade, improvements in real incomes and a more accommodative monetary policy in many economies, the Outlook projects global growth persevering at 3.2% in 2024 and 2025, after 3.1% in 2023.
G20 GDP growth remains relatively stable in the second quarter of 2024
September 12, 2024--Gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the G20 area remained relatively stable in Q2 2024, with a 0.7% quarter-on-quarter increase according to provisional estimates, slightly down from 0.8% in the previous quarter (Figure 1).
Goods barometer rises above trend, signalling upturn in trade volume
September 4, 2024--Global goods trade has continued to recover in the third quarter of 2024 after demand for traded goods stalled in 2023 amid high inflation and rising interest rates, according to the latest WTO Goods Trade Barometer.
Shenzhen and Dubai Forge Stronger Financial Ties with New Cross-Border ETF Agreement
September 3, 2024--The Shenzhen Stock Exchange and Dubai Financial Market recently signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) to enhance cross-border investing between China and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), with a focus on exchange-traded funds (ETFs), per reporting by the Financial Times. This partnership marks a significant step in the growing financial relationship between China and the Middle East.