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EC-2014 Autumn Economic forecast: Slow recovery with very low inflation

November 4, 2014--The European Commission's autumn forecast projects weak economic growth for the rest of this year in both the EU and the euro area. Real GDP growth is expected to reach 1.3% in the EU and 0.8% in the euro area for 2014 as a whole. Growth is expected to rise slowly in the course of 2015, to 1.5% and 1.1% respectively, on the back of improving foreign and domestic demand.

An acceleration of economic activity to 2.0% and 1.7% respectively in 2016 is expected to be driven by the strengthening of the financial sector (following the comprehensive assessment by the European Central Bank and further progress towards the Banking Union), as well as recent structural reforms starting to bear fruit.

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view the inforgraphic-EC-2014 Autumn Economic Forecast

Source: European Commission (EC)


ECB Accelerates Covered-Bond Purchases in Second Week

November 3, 2014--The European Central Bank stepped up buying of covered bonds in an attempt to boost consumer prices and rekindle growth in the euro-area economy.

The outstanding amount of covered bonds purchased under the Frankfurt-based institution's program rose by 3.075 billion euros ($3.85 billion) last week to 4.779 billion euros, data on the ECB's website showed.

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Source: Bloomberg


S&P Dow Jones Indices-Europe Index Dashboard-October 2014

October 31, 2014--Macroeconomic concerns and equity volatility returned during a tough October for the European equity markets. The S&P Europe 350 fell by over 3%, taking a day-to-day lead from Greek government bond prices.

Leading the headlines: fears of deflation mounted as the ECB's stimulus program at the beginning of the month was judged unambitious, mid-month saw Germany cut GDP growth forecasts citing the "geopolitical crisis"; followed by dismal GDP and employment figures from France.

Finally, towards month end, 25 of around 130 banks were reported to have failed the ECB’s "stress-test" (not a surprising figure, but slightly worse than expected).

view the S&P Dow Jones Indices-Europe Index Dashboard-October 2014

Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices


Derivatives trading volume hits historic high

October 31, 2014--The trading volume on the Moscow Exchange's derivatives market reached a historic high of RUB 617bn (approx. USD 14.22bn) or 13.8 contracts on October 30, the exchange said.

The previous record was registered in September 2012. The average intraday trading volume was RUB 245bn (approx. USD 5.65bn) in October.

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Source: rbcnews.com


Financial Conduct Authority consults on restrictions on the retail distribution of regulatory capital instruments

October 29, 2014--The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is proposing to place new requirements that would apply when mutual society shares are sold to ordinary retail investors.

The FCA is also consulting on plans to make permanent the temporary rules, announced in August 2014. which placed restrictions on the distribution of contingent convertible securities (CoCos).

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Source: Financial Conduct Authority (FCA)


Mifid II: Regulatory 'typhoon' on course for Europe

October 29, 2014--Wealth managers and private banks across Europe are about to be hit by a regulatory "typhoon" and are "burying their heads in the sand" about the consequences, according to a leading campaigner on costs and transparency.

As it stands, Mifid II, the second iteration of the EU's Markets in Financial Instruments Directive, will compel regulated firms to reveal to every client the complete array of costs and charges they are paying, in a single aggregate figure.

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Source: FT.com


Depreciation in the Rouble Hurts Business Sentiment

October 28, 2014--MNI Russia Business Indicator Falls to 46.7 in October from 47.5 in September
The MNI Russia Business Indicator declined by 1.7% to 46.7 in October from 47.5 in September, the lowest level this year, as the weak rouble took its toll on business sentiment.

Firms were hurt more than ever before by the exchange rate after the rouble declined to a fresh low against the US dollar during our survey period, with the Effect of the Rouble Exchange Rate Indicator falling to a series’ low in October. While the depreciation may have provided a mild positive for Export Orders, our panel reported that it had hurt business activity overall.

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Source: MNI Indicators


EU Benchmarks Plan Too Demanding of Other Nations, Lawmaker Says

October 28, 2014--European Union lawmakers are set to overhaul draft rules for financial benchmarks on concerns that they could damage the functioning of markets by imposing excessively strict requirements on nations outside the bloc.

Plans set out by Michel Barnier, the EU’s financial services chief, for so-called equivalence assessments of whether non-EU countries meet its regulatory standards, are "not realistic," Cora van Nieuwenhuizen, the EU parliament legislator leading the assembly's work on the draft law, said in an interview.

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Source: Bloomberg


WisdomTree launches European ETF platform

October 28, 2014--WisdomTree has launched its European Ucits ETF platform. Due to increasing global demand for 'smart beta' exposure, WisdomTree is proud to launch its first four ETFs, listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE), providing exposure to large and small-cap US and European equities.

Due to increasing global demand for 'smart beta' exposure, WisdomTree is proud to launch its first four ETFs providing exposure to large and small-cap U.S. and European equities.

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Source: Investment Europe


FEMR consultation: How fair and effective are the fixed income, foreign exchange and commodities markets?

October 27, 2014--The Fair and Effective Markets Review (FEMR) has today published a consultation document on what needs to be done to reinforce confidence in the fairness and effectiveness of the Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities (FICC) markets.

The Review was established by the Chancellor in June 2014, to conduct a comprehensive and forward looking assessment of the way wholesale financial markets operate, to help to restore trust in those markets in the wake of a number of recent high profile abuses, and to influence the international debate on trading practices.

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Source: Bank of England


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