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The Indian economy is growing fast, but problems loom
December 28, 2021--In 2022, India will have to deal with ongoing inflation of fuel, food prices as well as rising urban unemployment
.Baldev Kumar threw his head back and laughed at the mention of India's resurgent GDP growth. The country's economy clocked an 8.4-percent uptick between July and September compared with the same period last year. India's Home Minister Amit Shah has boasted that the country might emerge as the world's fastest-growing economy in 2022.
Kumar could not care less.
As far as he was concerned, the crumpled receipt in his hand told a different story: The tomatoes, onions and okra he had just bought cost nearly twice as much as they did in early November.
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Source: aljazeera.com
Higher Shipping Costs May Lift Asia's Low Inflation
December 22, 2021--New analysis shows how increases in shipping rates have a persistent impact on consumer prices.
As the world economy recovers from the pandemic, inflation is mounting in advanced and emerging economies. Pent-up demand fueled by stimulus and pandemic disruptions is helping accelerate inflation, spread around the world through global factors like higher food and energy prices, and soaring shipping costs.
The chart of the week shows how Asia's inflation has been more moderate versus other regions, affording central banks room to keep interest rates low and support economic recovery. However, Asia's tepid price gains may see greater momentum next year. The outlook remains uncertain, and central banks should be ready to tighten policy if inflation pressures and expectations mount.
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Source: IMF
Structural Reforms Can Ease China's Transition to High-Quality Growth: Report
December 22, 2021--To achieve quality growth over the medium-term, China will need to rebalance its economy across several dimensions, according to Rebalancing Act, From Recovery to High-Quality Growth, the latest China Economic Update released today by the World Bank.
Following a strong rebound in the first half of 2021, economic activity in China cooled rapidly in the latter half of the year. Real GDP growth is projected to reach 8.0 percent this year, before moderating to 5.1 percent in 2022.
The economic slowdown reflects less-favorable base effects, diminished support from exports, and the government's continued deleveraging efforts. Although full-year growth is projected to slow in 2022, momentum is expected to pick up, aided by a more supportive fiscal stance following the rapid withdrawal of fiscal policy support in 2021.
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Source: worldbank.org
Fidelity brings second active ETF to market in Australia
December 21, 2021--Fidelity International has launched a second active trading fund in Australia in response to increased local investor demand for active ETFs.
The $706 billion asset manager originally launched his Global Demographic Strategy as a managed fund in 2012.
The ETF version of the fund is now listed on the Australian Stock Exchange under the FDEM Index.
The actively managed ETF will hold between 50 and 70 securities and will aim to beat the MSCI All Country World Index NR benchmark in the medium to long term, with a proposed seven-year investment time frame.
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Source: asmieducation.com
OECD-Digitalisation and Finance in Asia
December 17, 2021--The Asian region is home to the highest number of online internet users, who are the demographic most keen to adapt new technologies and most comfortable with using cashless payments, crypto-assets, and digital financial services. At the same time, parts of the Asian region remain unbanked or underbanked. The rapidly growing digital innovation in finance has allowed citizens of all countries to enjoy greater accessibility to financial products and services, unlocked, for example, through smartphone applications.
This underlines the significant potential that the digitalisation of financial services could have with respect to financial development and financial inclusion in such parts of Asia, and beyond.
This report examines FinTech applications and use cases in the Asian region and provides an overview of the most recent and prominent digital innovations in finance. It reviews policy tools used by jurisdictions in the region, and suggests policy responses intended to support financial innovation while ensuring that the use of such mechanisms is consistent with promoting financial stability, market integrity and competition, while protecting financial consumers.
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Source: OECD
Indonesia's Economy Grew in 2021 Despite COVID-19, Will Accelerate in 2022, World Bank Report Says
December 16, 2021--Accommodative Policies, Expanding Vaccination Key to Economic Momentum
The Indonesian economy continued to recover in 2021 despite moderating due to the COVID-19 Delta variant wave mid-year. The economy is estimated to have expanded 3.7 percent this year and is forecast to accelerate to 5.2 percent in 2022, the World Bank said on Thursday.
The projection assumes that Indonesia will avoid another severe COVID-19 spike, achieve 70 percent vaccine coverage in 2022 in most provinces, and maintain accommodative monetary and fiscal policies. It also assumes that global trade growth and commodity prices will moderate. These issues are discussed in detailed in the World Bank's latest Indonesia Economic Prospects report, A Green Horizon, Toward a High Growth and Low Carbon Economy.
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Source: worldbank.org
Thailand Economic Monitor December 2021: Living with COVID in a Digital World
December 14,2022-Key Findings
After being severely hit by a surge of COVID-19 cases in the third quarter, economic activity has subsequently rebounded.
The economy is expected to grow by 1.0 percent in 2021, unchanged from our previous projection published in October.
This reflects weakness in private consumption due to COVID-19, and the expectation that tourist arrivals will remain negligible through to the end of 2021, despite the recent reopening of international borders.
Exports of goods have supported growth, reflecting strength in global demand, and investment is expected to expand strongly.
Cash transfers, public health initiatives, economic recovery programs and other forms of fiscal support have helped shore up private demand while supporting consumption among vulnerable households and attenuating the impact of the crisis on poverty.
Economic activity is expected to return to its pre-pandemic levels end-2022, with progress on vaccinations and a resumption of tourist arrivals providing support for the recovery.
Growth is projected to accelerate to 3.9 percent in 2022 and 4.3 percent in 2023, driven by a recovery in service sector activity.
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Source: worldbank.org
Australia: Selected Issues
December 6, 2021-- REIGNITING PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH IN AUSTRALIA1
Unprecedented macro policy stimulus and relatively quick suppression of the virus in 2020 helped the Australian economy recover strongly from the recession induced by the COVID-19 pandemic. Although recent outbreaks pose new near-term challenges, attention is also increasingly turning towards the need to reignite productivity growth, which had slowed significantly before the pandemic.
A strong structural reform push can help address long-standing challenges that constrain productivity growth. Key priorities include increasing productivity-supporting investments in R&D and information and communication technology (ICT) and renewed product market reforms to enhance competitive forces. A. Introduction1.
Productivity growth, the key driver of improvement in living standards, had slowed in many advanced economies heading into the pandemic. As discussed in Adler and others (2017),the widespread slowdown in total factor productivity has been attributed to various factors, including hysteresis effects from the global financial crisis (weak corporate and financial sector balance sheets, combined with elevated uncertainty, held back productivity-enhancing investments) as well as structural headwinds that pre-dated the financial crisis (waning of the ICT boom, slowdown in global trade, and headwinds from demographic changes).
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Source: imf.org
Nearly a third of Singapore's financial assets exposed to climate risk, says central bank
December 6, 2021--The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has estimated that 30% of financial assets in the island-state could face shifts in valuations or higher costs of doing business as the world transitions to a low-carbon economy.
The figure primarily refers to climate 'transition risk' one of the two channels through which climate change risk is transmitted to the financial system.
The other channel, known as 'physical risk' or the physical impacts of climate change on the economy, was not considered by MAS due to "data limitations as well as the complexity and uncertainty associated with extreme weather events".
The study, which was included in MAS' annual financial stability review published today, did not provide a financial value for the assets it identified.
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Source: responsible-investor.com
Citi applies to re-enter China investment banking market
December 3, 2021--Wall Street group wants to launch a wholly owned business after exiting securities joint venture in 2019.
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Source: FT.com
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