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SGX plans to list MSCI China Free Index contracts

March 15, 2016--THE Singapore Exchange (SGX) intends to list contracts on the MSCI China Free Index, it said on Tuesday. Its plan is subject to regulatory approval.

The new SGX MSCI China Free contracts will broaden the suite of China-linked risk management products available on the exchange, with specific relevance to global institutional investors in China equities.

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Source: businesstimes.com.sg


Goldman predicts $700bn capital outflow, weaker yuan for China in 2016

March 14, 2015--The world's second biggest economy will see $700 billion leave the country this year, says Goldman Sachs.

However, a currency crisis in China is unlikely to happen soon, according to the bank. view more

Source: rt.com


Japan's Biggest Gold Retailer Says Negative Rates Boost Demand

March 13, 2016--BOJ's move to stimulate bank lending burnishes gold's allure
New policy leads to misconceptions among bullion buyers

Japan's negative interest rates are boosting demand for gold, according to the nation's biggest bullion retailer.

International prices have rallied 18 percent this year as investors seek a haven from financial market turmoil. For individual investors, the Bank of Japan's surprise move in January is adding to gold's allure, according to Takahiro Ito, chief manager at Tanaka Kikinzoku Kogyo K.K.'s store in Tokyo's Ginza shopping district.

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Source: Bloomberg


Weekend Reads from China: What Investors Need to Know about the NPC Report

March 11, 2016--Amid rising doubts about China's economy and the government's ability to manage it, China's annual parliamentary session of the National People's Congress (NPC) kicked off last Saturday.

There, Prime Minister Li Keqiang presented the government's report on its economic targets for 2016.

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Source: blogs.cfainstitute.org


Animation: Japan's Aging Population

March 9, 2016--Japan's infamous "Lost Decade" was supposed to refer to the stagnant economic period from 1991 until 2000, after the collapse of the asset price bubble in Japanese housing and stocks.

However, it seems the phrase was coined a little early, as now it seems even more ominous. The "Lost Decade" has turned into the "Lost Two Decades", and many of the same economic problems continue to plague the nation today.

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Source: visualcapitalist.com


IMF-Dynamic Connectedness of Asian Equity Markets

March 9, 2016--Summary: Understanding how markets are connected and shocks are transmitted is an important issue for policymakers and market participants. In this paper, we examine the connectedness of Asian equity markets within the region and vis-à-vis other major global markets.

Using time-varying connectedness measures, we address the following questions:(1)How has connectedness in asset returns and volatilities changed over time? Do markets become more connected during crises periods? (2)Which markets are major sources and major recipients of shocks? Has there been a shift in terms of the net shock givers and shock receivers (directional connectedness over time)? Finally, we investigate the connectedness between China's equity markets and other countries' equity markets since August 2015 to highlight the growing importance of emerging market economies, particularly China, as sources of shocks

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Source: IMF


Budget 2016 milestone achievement for India, transforming policy by leaps and bounds

March 7, 2016--After a tumultuous Q1 for global stock markets, investors are increasingly seeking to take advantage of attractive valuations.

Bolstered by strong macro fundamentals, the SENSEX closed on Friday with its highest weekly gain in seven years, and the NIFTY just shy of 7,450.

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Source: The Economic Times


China Eases Fiscal Stance to Meet Slower 2016 Growth Target

March 5, 2016--Leaders vow to speed up disposal of unproductive state assets
Analyst: Problem is 'there's a lot of bad lending going on'.

China unveiled a record fiscal deficit and pledged to accelerate the restructuring of its bloated state-owned industries while still setting a weaker growth target for this year.

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Source: Bloomberg


Reforms to Build a Xiaokang Society in China

March 4, 2016--China aims to build a xiaokang (moderately prosperous) society in a comprehensive manner and eliminate extreme poverty by the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan (2016-20) period.

The reforms laid out in the Suggestions of the Fifth Plenum of the 18th Communist Party of China Central Committee and Decisions of the Third Plenum provide the solid basis for achieving these objectives. The 13th Five-Year Plan, to be discussed in the coming days, will include the concrete reforms that China decides to pursue in the years ahead.

Here are some reflections on how some of those reforms could help achieve China's objectives.

First is achieving moderately rapid growth during the 13th Five-Year Plan.

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Source: World Bank


IMF-India: Selected Issues

March 2, 2016--SUMMARY
The background papers for the 2016 Article IV explore key issues affecting the Indian economy, and implications for fiscal, monetary, financial sector and other structural policies.

The first chapter evaluates the build-up of corporate and banking sector vulnerabilities in India, linked to the past macroeconomic slowdown and supply-side bottlenecks, particularly in the infrastructure sector. It finds that low profitability, coupled with high leverage, has put a strain on firms' debt repayment capacity. Stress tests of corporate balance sheets suggest that their exposure to potential shocks has continued to increase. Importantly, the weaker position of domestic corporates has also accounted for a substantial deterioration of banks' asset quality. Stress test simulations suggest that potential capitalization needs should be manageable, but may require additional fiscal outlays.

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Source: IMF


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