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Warnings about 'rand tax'

August 3, 2010-- The implementation of a tax on short-term speculative flows should be carefully considered, Absa Capital said in its emerging markets research report on Tuesday.

Their comments follow newspaper reports that the African National Congress is looking at options to make the rand more competitive, including a possible tax on short-term capital flows into the economy to try and curb rand volatility.

South Africa is heavily reliant on capital inflows, which in turn strengthen the rand.

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Source: FIN24


Rand sits in a tight range

July 30, 2010--The rand was range-bound in afternoon trade on Friday amid thin trade.
At 15:41 local time the rand was bid at R7.3200 to the dollar from R7.3196 at Thursday's close. It was bid at R9.5318 to the euro from R9.5660 before and at R11.4222 against the sterling from R11.4109 at its previous close.

The euro was bid at $1.3003 from $1.3077 overnight.

A local dealer said: "It's a typical end of the month market at present, with the rand in a R7.30-38 range, lacking any real direction."

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Source: FIN24


JSE weak amid negative global sentiment

July 30, 2010-- The JSE was mired in red at noon on Friday as negative sentiment weighed on global markets ahead of the release of second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data in the US, after a run of disappointing fundamental data which traders say is raising fears of a double dip.

Profit-taking, particularly in the resources and banking sectors, was also adding to the weakness in the local market, traders said.

By 12:00 local time the JSE All-share index had lost 1.40%, with banks off 2.04% and financials down 1.50%.

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Source: Fin 24


Bonds weaker on rand, global caution

July 30, 2010--South African bonds were between three and four basis points weaker in early trade on Friday, in line with a soft rand and a cautious global investment backdrop.

By 12:06 the benchmark R157 bond was at 7.635% after closing at 7.590% on Thursday and the 10-year R207 was at 8.320% from 8.290% previously. The long-term R186 was at 8.545% from 8.530% at its previous close.

The rand was bid at R7.3407 to the dollar from R7.3196 at its previous close.

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Source: FIN24


World Bank fingers SA labour costs

July 30, 2010--South Africa is not attracting enough foreign investment to tackle high unemployment and poverty, the World Bank said on Thursday, citing high labour costs as a key deterrent

"South Africa is attracting far less foreign direct investment and exporting less industrial output than many countries in the same peer group," a report said.

The investment climate report compared the country with other emerging economies such as Brazil, India and China.

High labour costs and low manufacturing productivity were holding back to the economy, it said, in a country where unions demand salary hikes more than double the rate of inflation.

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view the South Africa: Second Investment Climate Assessment Improving the Business Environment for Job Creation and Growth Draft Summary report

Source: FIN24


SA inflation lower than expected

July 28, 2010-- The increase in South Africa's consumer price index (CPI), which is used by the Reserve Bank for its inflation target, was 4.2% year-on-year in June, down from 4.6% in May, Statistics SA said on Wednesday

It remains well within the target band of between 3% and 6%.

CPI was at 0.0% month-on-month from 0.2% in May.

CPI was expected to have decreased to 4.5% y/y, according to a survey of leading economists by I-Net Bridge, with forecasts among the 10 economists ranging from 4.3% to 4.7%.

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Source: FIN24


Long bonds come a little unstuck

July 23, 2010--South African bonds remained weak during the morning session on Friday as the unchanged rates stance of Thursday continued to lead to long positions being unwound.

By 12:06 the benchmark R157 bond was yielding 7.750% after closing at 7.655% on Thursday and the 10-year R207 was at 8.540% from 8.500% previously. The long-term R186 was at 8.845% from 8.785% at its previous close.

The rand was bid at R7.4274 to the dollar from R7.4347 at its previous close.

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Source: FIN24


Rand tracks weaker euro

July 23, 2010--The rand was a fraction softer in afternoon trade on Friday tracking the euro, ahead of crucial EU bank stress test results.

At 15:28 local time the rand was bid at R7.4578 to the dollar from R7.4347 at Thursday's close. It was bid at R9.5465 to the euro from R9.5829 before and at R11.4624 against the sterling from R11.3357 at its previous close.

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Source: FIN24


JSE edges higher in cautious trade

July 23, 2010--South African stocks edged higher on Friday in cautious trade ahead of European stress test results while the rand hovered near three-month highs against the dollar after the central bank decided not to cut rates the previous day.

The JSE top-40 index of blue chips rose 0.56% to 25 333.32, its highest close since May 4 while the broader all-share index inched up 0.53% to 28 424.17.

"There's caution in the market ahead of these bank stress tests in Europe," said Martin Lentsoane, a trader at Johannesburg-based NEWS Trading.

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Source: FIN24


S Africa wakes up to reality after World Cup

July 21, 2010--Just 10 days ago, Mary Muthui was doing a roaring trade in football scarves, beanie hats and vuvuzelas at her stall in the Rosebank Mall crafts centre in northern Johannesburg. But – less than two weeks after the end of South Africa’s much acclaimed World Cup – the 28-year-old trader was struggling to unload anything at all and was offering the controversial plastic horn for a quarter of the R120 ($16, €12, £10) that football fans were paying last month. “It’s very, very slow,” she said. “I have sold less than 50 vuvuzelas since the final.”

The gloom at the mall seems to reflect a broader shift in mood since the end of South Africa’s football fiesta. Although it was entirely predictable that restaurants, hotels and craft businesses such as Ms Muthui’s would see a fall-off in business, there are other concerns too. The economy – boosted by World Cup fever – seems to have hit a bump, with signs that manufacturing has been hit by the downturn in Europe and fears that slower growth in China could reduce demand for South African iron, coal and precious metal exports.

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Source: FT.com


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