you are currently viewing:Future-Proofing the EuroMay 23, 2025--Europe's policymakers must not rely on the next crisis to force reform to the single currency They have spawned ever larger and less constrained monetary and fiscal interventions and sown the seeds for even worse future crises. This is the sobering diagnosis of Crisis Cycle, a new book on the euro's evolution by a unique trio: Stanford University's John Cochrane, a leading scholar of monetary and fiscal matters; Luis Garicano, once a member of the European Parliament, now at the London School of Economics; and Klaus Masuch, whose lifetime career in the European Central Bank’s engine rooms of monetary policy and crisis management included work with the "troika" that negotiated the Greek adjustment program after the 2010 debt crisis.
Source: IMF.org |
July 3, 2025-Abstract
Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine and rising trade tensions continue to slow down the European economy. Despite strong policy responses to external shocks, the near-term outlook is clouded by elevated uncertainty. Disinflation is progressing, but monetary policy should remain vigilant. Fiscal policy needs to make space for new spending needs, such as defence, but to ensure medium-term sustainability, fiscal prudence must continue.