Geithner hails ‘progress’ in China talks
May 10, 201--The US and China have claimed success after two days of negotiations ended in a series of deals on US access to the Chinese market and Chinese access to sensitive US technology.
China pledged on Tuesday to change regulations so that government contracts are not linked to improvements in its domestic technology base. China also promised improvements in the enforcement of intellectual property such as software.
Source: FT.com
FTSE Physical Industrial Metals Index Series to expand commodity investment opportunities
May 10, 2011--FTSE Group (“FTSE”), the award winning global index provider, and Dubai International Financial Centre Investments (DIFCI), through its wholly owned subsidiary Global Commodity Finance, together with Merit Commodity Partners AG, today announced the launch of the FTSE Physical Industrial Metals Index Series (PIMI).
This index series is the world’s first investible, Shariah compliant physical industrial metals index series, providing investors with a means of researching, benchmarking, and managing exposure to some of the world’s most widely used industrial metals.
The FTSE Physical Industrial Metals Index Series is launched against a backdrop of growing investor interest in the metals asset class as continued emerging market development and government investment in infrastructure fuels global consumption. The FTSE Physical Industrial Metals Index Series comprises four individual indices, covering aluminium, copper, zinc and nickel, as well as a benchmark index containing all four metals, giving investors the flexibility to tailor their metals exposure in accordance with investment objectives
Source: FTSE
NYSE Euronext Rejects Bid by Nasdaq and ICE
May 10, 2011--NYSE Euronext announced on Sunday that it would reject an unsolicited takeover bid by its rival, the Nasdaq OMX Group, and the IntercontinentalExchange, primarily over antitrust concerns.
Instead, the company, which runs the long-established New York Stock Exchange as well as the Euronext based in Paris, said it would stand by its previous agreement to merge with Deutsche Börse.
Source: NY Times
Policymakers learn a new and alarming catchphrase
May 9, 2011--Another week, another wave of dismal fiscal gridlock in Washington. But as US politicians squabble about how to cut the debt , another concept with a catchy name is quietly starting to creep into the policy debate: “financial repression”.
A few weeks ago, Carmen Reinhart, a US economist who shot to fame two years ago by co-authoring an influential book on sovereign debt, This Time Is Different, produced a joint paper for the International Monetary Fund on the topic of “financial repression” in the west. And while this phrase is not yet mainstream news, it is starting to generate a buzz among the policy elite in Washington and in some European capitals.
view the Liquidation of Public Debt paper
Source: FT.com
Investors move back into commodities
May 9, 2011--Investors are moving back into selective growth-focused assets as hopes for the US economy encourage buying of recently battered commodities.
Copper and oil, the global industrial benchmarks that endured heavy selling last week after fears of slowing demand triggered wholesale dumping of previously buoyant resources, are up 2 per cent to $4.05 a pound and 6 per cent to $103.05 a barrel, respectively.
Source: FT.com
ETFS Precious Metals Weekly: Silver price rebounds as strong US jobs data boosts confidence
May 9, 2011--Silver price drop of 30% last week reverses on the back of stronger than expected US Payrolls on Friday, with follow through into the new week.
Other precious metals prices and flows have held relatively firm through the sell-off indicating investors' are not viewing this as the beginning of a broader commodity price downtrend.
Metals consultancy GFMS publishes forecast of $1800/oz average platinum spot price and $800/oz average palladium price over 2011.
Silver supported by strong US payrolls data after COMEX-led sell-off
Silver price falls fastest since at least 1975 as COMEX futures margin tightening prompts position liquidation. New regulations by the CME group have seen COMEX silver futures margin requirements raised five times over the past two weeks, increasing trading costs by 84%. The hikes caused a massive liquidation of long speculative positions in silver and sent the spot price plummeting from near $50/oz at the end of April towards $35/oz by the end of last week. However, with the release of stronger than expected payrolls numbers on Friday, the silver price rebounded with carry-through into this week.
Source: ETF Securities
New Opportunities Emerge in Africa as China Graduates from Lower Skill Manufacturing
May 9, 2011--In this year’s WIDER (World Institute for Development Economics Research) Lecture, titled “From Flying Geese to Leading Dragons: New Opportunities and Strategies for Structural Transformation in Developing Countries” and given in Maputo, Mozambique, on May 4, 2011, World Bank Senior Vice President and Chief Economist Justin Yifu Lin predicted that the graduation from low-skilled manufacturing activities in China and other new large MICs will open up a unprecedented industrialization opportunities for African and other low-income countries.
Speaking to a broad audience of several hundreds of researchers, policymakers and development practioners in Maputo, Mozambique, where the WIDER lecture took place—the first time on African soil--Justin Yifu Lin compared China’s current GDP per capita (measured in PPP terms) to that of Japan in the early 1960s or that of Korea in the early 1980s. Because of its dynamic growth over the past three decades, China will have to move up the industrial ladder, like Japan did in the 1960s and Korea did in the 1980s—a “graduation” that will free up large manufacturing employment opportunities for lower-income economies, and mark China’s conversion from the flying goose it once was in the footsteps of other Asian economies into a leading dragon in its own right. China currently employs 85 million workers in low-skilled manufacturing jobs that will have to be relocated elsewhere because of rising wages and productivity levels, compared to Japan’s 9.7 million in the 1960’s and Korean’s 2.3 million in the 1980’s. It is estimated that China’s currently monthly wages for unskilled labor is about $350, compared to less than $100 for most African countries, whose main comparative advantage is in labor-intensive industries.
Source: World Bank
NASDAQ OMX Group and IntercontinentalExchange Issue Letter to NYSE Euronext Stockholders
May 9, 2011--NASDAQ OMX (NDAQ) and IntercontinentalExchange (ICE) today issued the following letter to NYSE Euronext stockholders:
What's the Rush?
Why are NYSE Euronext stockholders being asked to approve a high-risk, low-value transaction without all of the facts?
Why is your board rushing you into a vote?
And why are they refusing to even meet with NASDAQ OMX and ICE to explore a clearly financially superior alternative?
Stockholders of NYSE Euronext who own shares as of today will be eligible to vote on the proposed Deutsche Boerse transaction. But both NYSE Euronext and Deutsche Boerse have made clear in public filings and interviews that they are not expected to have definitive information regarding their EU competition status until year-end or later. Yet your Board has set the stockholder meeting date for approval of the combination for July 7th, 2011.
Source: NASDAQ OMX
OECD composite leading indicators point to diverging pace of economic activity across major economies
May 9, 2011--Composite leading indicators (CLIs), designed to anticipate turning points in economic activity relative to trend, are pointing to some divergence in the pace of economic activity across major economies. Compared with last month’s assessment, this month’s CLIs point to a slower or stable pace of expansion in most EU countries and continued expansion in North America, China and Russia.
The CLIs for Canada and China signal regained momentum in economic activity and the CLIs for the United States, Germany and Russia, continue pointing to expansion relative to trend. Based on the CLIs, the pace of expansion in France and the United Kingdom will be stable, albeit slow. The CLIs for Italy, Brazil and India are pointing to slowdowns in economic activity relative to trend.
Because of the exceptional circumstances the country is facing, it is not possible to provide reliable estimates of the CLI for Japan at this stage.
Source: OECD
Sales soaring high despite regulatory concerns
May 6, 2011--Structured product providers are emerging from a period of heightened regulatory scrutiny in bullish mood – and seeking to win arguments about transparency, performance and capital protection – according to leading industry figures.
Since the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008 – and, with it, the value of structured products based on its bonds – banks and wealth managers across the globe have been the subject of prolonged reviews of the way they market these investments to retail clients. Much of the focus has been on the selection, and disclosure, of the counterparty banks used to underwrite investors’ capital.
Source: FT.com