Global ETF News Older than One Year
How to value bitcoin with a traditional valuation measure
May 22, 2017--A London-based financial analyst who prefers to remain anonymous has constructed a bitcoin valuation model he's called BitVal.
The model is a bid to try and figure out the fair value of the currency, since its price has soared past $2200.
Source: BIS
IMF Working Paper-Riding the Energy Transition: Oil Beyond 2040
May 22, 2017--Summary:
Recent technological developments and past technology transitions suggest that the world could be on the verge of a profound shift in transportation technology.
The return of the electric car and its adoption, like that of the motor vehicle in place of horses in early 20th century, could cut oil consumption substantially in the coming decades. Our analysis suggests that oil as the main fuel for transportation could have a much shorter life span left than commonly assumed. In the fast adoption scenario, oil prices could converge to the level of coal prices, about $15 per barrel in 2015 prices by the early 2040s. In this possible future, oil could become the new coal.
view the IMF Working Paper-Riding the Energy Transition: Oil Beyond 2040
Source: IMF
IMF Working Paper-Sovereign Bond Prices, Haircuts and Maturity
May 22, 2017--Summary:
Rejecting a common assumption in the sovereign debt literature, we document that creditor losses ("haircuts") during sovereign restructuring episodes are asymmetric across debt instruments.
We code a comprehensive dataset on instrument-specific haircuts for 28 debt restructurings with private creditors in 1999-2015 and find that haircuts on shorter-term debt are larger than those on debt of longer maturity. In a standard asset pricing model, we show that increasing short-run default risk in the run-up to a restructuring episode can explain the stylized fact. The data confirms the predicted relation between perceived default risk, bond prices, and haircuts by maturity.
view the IMF Working Paper-Sovereign Bond Prices, Haircuts and Maturity
Source: IMF
IMF Working Paper-Portfolio Inflows and Real Effective Exchange Rates: Does the Sectorization Matter?
May 22, 2017--It has been well-established in the literature that portfolio inflows appreciate the real effective exchange rate. However, the literature lacks a systematic empirical analysis of the impact of portfolio inflows by institutional sector or borrower type.
This paper fills this gap by exploring the impact of the inflows of portfolio capital into three institutional sectors (government, banks and corporates) on the real effective exchange rate. Using a large sample of 73 countries, it shows that the effect of portfolio inflows on the real effective exchange rate depends on the sector the investment flows in. The findings are robust to different econometric methods, additional variables in the model, and various indicators of real effective exchange rates.
view the IMF Working paper-Portfolio Inflows and Real Effective Exchange Rates: Does the Sectorization Matter?
Source: IMF
IMF-Regional Economic Outlook Western Hemisphere- Tale of Two Adjustments
Better growth prospects in the United States, Europe, and Japan reflect some rebound in manufacturing and trade, as well as prospects of likely U.S. fiscal stimulus in the wake of the November
elections. As it seeks a new policy course, the United States should see solid economic growth in the
near term with job creation and rising inflation. With a shift in the direction of U.S. policies, market
sentiment has strengthened alongside advancing equity markets, a stronger U.S. dollar, and higher U.S.
interest rates. Meanwhile, growth prospects marginally worsened for emerging market and developing
economies compared to last fall. view the IMF-Regional Economic Outlook Western Hemisphere-
Tale of Two Adjustments
Source: IMF
Continued slowdown in productivity growth weighs down on living standards
In its latest Compendium of Productivity Indicators, the OECD also highlights a decoupling between productivity growth and higher real average wages in many countries, resulting in continued declines in labour's share of national income.
Source: OECD
Fidelity International rules out 'costly' M&A deals
Fidelity International has ruled out making any big fund management acquisitions, amid predictions the sector is ripe for consolidation.
Source: fnlondon.com
Bassanese Bites: Steady week given mixed news
Having started with a bang, the Q1 US earnings report season is ending with a whimper. Of course, that's perhaps not surprising given the remaining focus on competitively challenged bricks and mortar retailers-such as Macy's and Nordstrom which reported downbeat results last week.
Source: betashares.com.au
May 19, 2017--Shifts in the global landscape are taking place following disappointing growth in 2016. Momentum
picked up in the second half of 2016, and the outlook for advanced economies has improved for 2017-18.
MAy 18, 2017--The slowdown in productivity growth-already underway before the crisis-combined with sluggish investment, continued to undermine rises in economic output and material living standards in recent years in many of the world's economies, according to a new report released today by the OECD.
May 17, 2017--President of the £215 billion fund manager is not interested in participating in an expected wave of industry consolidation
May 16, 2017--The Week In Review
It was another fairly lacklustre week in global markets, with the S&P 500 easing back 0.4% after flirting with new record highs.
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