ETFGI reports the global ETFs industry gathered US$19.96 billion of net inflows in February 2023
March 16, 2023--ETFGI, a leading independent research and consultancy firm covering trends in the global ETFs ecosystem, reports the global ETFs gathered US$19.96 billion in net inflows during February bringing year to date net inflows to US$79.79 Bn.
During February 2023, assets invested global ETFs industry decreased by 2.7%, from US$9.87 trillion at the end of January to US$9.60 trillion, according to ETFGI's February 2023 global ETFs and ETPs industry landscape insights report, the monthly report which is part of an annual paid-for research subscription service. (All dollar values in USD unless otherwise noted)
Highlights
Global ETFs industry gathered $19.96 Bn of net inflows during February.
YTD net inflows of $79.79 Bn are the sixth highest on record, while the highest recorded YTD net inflows are $224.30 Bn in 2021 followed by YTD net inflows of $182.45 in 2022.
45th month of consecutive net inflows.
Assets of $9.60 Tn invested in global ETFs industry at the end of February.
Assets increased 3.6% YTD in 2023, going from $9.26 Tn at end of 2022 to $9.60 Tn.
Equity ETFs and ETPs listed globally saw $1.47 Bn in net outflows in February 2023.
Source: etfgi.com
House Prices Continue to Fall as Borrowing Costs Rise
March 15, 2023--Property markets should enjoy greater stability when central banks slow or pause their campaign of raising interest rates to tame inflation
Global housing markets are retreating after years of steady gains. The Chart of the Week shows widespread declines in inflation-adjusted housing prices for two-thirds of the countries with recent data from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
The moves underscore how housing markets are adjusting to rising interest rates as central banks try to contain inflation. Policy rates have increased on average by 4 percentage points across major economies, to levels that prevailed prior to the global financial crisis.
In the United States for instance, the Federal Reserve has increased the target rate to a range of 4.5-4.75 percent from near zero a year ago, the fastest pace of rate increases in two decades. This in turn led to a sharp increase in the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate, which rose to a two-decade high of 7.1 percent late last year.
Source: imf.org
IMF-Digitalization During the COVID-19 Crisis: Implications for Productivity and Labor Markets in Advanced Economies
March 13, 2023--Summary:
Digitalization induced by the pandemic was seen both as a possible silver-lining from the crisis that could increase longer-term productivity and a risk for further labor market inequality between digital and non-digital workers. The note shows that the pandemic accelerated digitalization and triggered a partial catch-up by less digitalized entities in advanced economies.
Higher digitalization levels shielded substantially productivity and hours worked during the crisis. However, the extent to which the pandemic-induced digitalization led to structural change in the economy is less clear. Less digitalized sectors have rebounded more strongly, albeit after stronger declines, and while workers in digital occupations were more shielded from the crisis, there does not appear to be a structural change in the composition of labor demand. Meanwhile, shifts in labor supply are more likely to be permanent, driven by the increase in working from home.
Source: imf
IMF Working Paper-Do Capital Controls Limit Inflow Surges?
March 10, 2023--March 10, 2023--Summary:
With rising financial integration, the magnitude and swings in capital flows have increased in the past two decades, intensifying the policy debate on how best to deal with these flows. This paper assesses the use and effectiveness of capital controls in limiting inflow surges.
Using a novel dataset on capital control changes across 40 advanced and emerging market and developing economies over 1995-2018, we find that the tightening of capital controls reduces the probability of future surges both at the aggregate and the asset flow levels. The results are robust to various definitions of surges and are stronger when controls are matched to the asset class they target. Finally, we also find significant multilateral spillovers from capital control actions, pointing towards the need for international cooperation in the use of these policies.
Source: imf.org
Reduce pollution to combat 'superbugs' and other anti-microbial resistance
March 7, 2023--Up to 10 million people could die annually by 2050 due to anti-microbial resistance (AMR), the UN Environment Programme (UNEP) said in a report launched in Bridgetown, Barbados, on Tuesday, highlighting the need to curtail pollution created by the pharmaceuticals, agricultural and healthcare sectors.
The study focuses on the environmental dimensions of AMR, which occurs when bacteria, viruses, fungi, and parasites change over time and no longer respond to medicines.
It calls for strengthening action to reduce the emergence, transmission and spread of "superbugs"-strains of bacteria that have become resistant to every known biotic-and other instances of AMR, which are already taking a serious toll on human, animal, and plant health.
Source: news.un.org
IMF-It's time to rethink the foundation and framework of monetary policy
March 2, 2023--In 2008, Queen Elizabeth II famously asked professors at the London School of Economics (LSE) about the global financial crisis: "Why did no one see it coming?" If Charles III were following in the footsteps of his mother, he would surely ask a similar question today, but about high inflation.
This question is more compelling for two reasons. First, before the recent inflation spike to levels not seen in 40 years, many central banks in advanced economies were overwhelmingly concerned about low inflation. Second, they confidently contended that inflation was transitory and failed to restrain it even as prices rose rapidly.
The triggering events, notably trade and production disruption owing to the pandemic and the war in Ukraine, were supply-side events. These were considered outside the remit of monetary policy. But the impact of triggering events on inflation varies according to preexisting financial conditions, which are in turn shaped by monetary policy. Central bankers, therefore, are not entirely blameless.
Source: imf.org
Pace of Reform Toward Equal Rights for Women Falls to 20-Year Low
March 2, 2023--"Reform fatigue" poses obstacle to economic growth at a critical time
The global pace of reforms toward equal treatment of women under the law has slumped to a 20-year low, constituting a potential impediment to economic growth at a critical time for the global economy, a new World Bank report shows.
In 2022, the global average score on the World Bank's Women, Business and the Law index rose just half a point to 77.1-indicating women, on average, enjoy barely 77 percent of the legal rights that men do. At the current pace of reform, in many countries a woman entering the workforce today will retire before she will be able to gain the same rights as men, the report notes.
Source: worldbank.org
IMF-Crisis and Monetary Policy
March 1, 2023--The pandemic and war have bred new challenges for global central banks in coming years
The global inflation surge that abruptly ended decades of moderating price gains came at a unique confluence of crises: the global pandemic and Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
Now, economists must ask, What lessons does this era offer for monetary policy? We might begin with the lessons from the pandemic and war that are relevant for monetary policy, even if the world eventually moves back to an environment of low interest rates and low inflation. Most economists missed the inflation surge, and we need to understand why, and how monetary policy may have to change going forward.
Source: IMF.org
WTO-Goods barometer declines further, hinting at fourth quarter trade slump
March 1, 2023--World merchandise trade growth appears to have lost momentum in the fourth quarter of 2022 and is likely to remain weak in the first quarter of 2023, according to the latest WTO Goods Trade Barometer issued on 1 March. The overall barometer index continues to point to weakening trade growth in volume terms after falling to 92.2, down from 96.2 in the previous release and well below the baseline value of 100.
The volume of world merchandise trade was up 5.6% in the third quarter of 2022 compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Meanwhile, cumulative year-on-year growth for the first three quarters of 2022 stood at 4.4%, above the WTO's forecast released last October of 3.5% for the whole year. A downturn in the fourth quarter would bring actual trade growth more in line with the WTO's forecast for 2022. Any slowdown may prove to be short lived since container throughput of Chinese ports and new export orders from Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMIs) have already started to pick up.
Source: WTO (World Trade Organization)
In Major Economic Shocks, Best Response Combines All-Out, Large-Scale Policies
February 27, 2023--Bank lending grew faster in countries with policy packages combining large fiscal, monetary, and prudential measures.
Economists will be studying the pandemic for generations to learn from the dramatic global downturn and the ensuing credit crunch, but one important lesson about the scope of action needed to contain the next global crisis is already coming into focus.
During the pandemic, countries often used all-out responses that combined large fiscal, monetary, and prudential policies like grants, credit facilities, and relaxed capital requirements. As we demonstrate in a new working paper, this kind of expansive response may be needed to support corporate borrowing and credit growth in major future crises that combine global supply and demand shocks.
Source: IMF.org